Impacto del cambio climático en el diseño y mantenimiento de infraestructuras hidráulicas
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.63618/omd/ssjm/v2/n2/27Palabras clave:
cambio climático, infraestructura hidráulica, diseño adaptativo, mantenimiento predictivo, resilienciaResumen
This study examines how climate change significantly affects the design and maintenance of hydraulic infrastructures, whose historical planning bases are outdated in the face of current climate variability. Through a systematic literature review in international scientific databases, we identify the main transformations in critical hydrological parameters, such as rainfall intensity and peak flows, which require the adoption of non-stationary approaches and adaptive designs. It also shows that the increasing frequency of extreme events accelerates structural deterioration, increasing the vulnerability of these infrastructures. The article highlights the value of strategies such as nature-based solutions, intelligent monitoring and flexible planning to ensure long-term functionality and sustainability. Finally, it emphasizes the need to update regulatory frameworks and strengthen institutional capacities to proactively address the challenges imposed by climate change in the water sector.
Descargas
Referencias
Alcocer-Quinteros, R. P., Knudsen-González, J. A., & Marrero-Delgado, F. (2024). Contribución a la gestión integral de los residuos sólidos urbanos en cantones del Ecuador. Editorial Grupo AEA. https://doi.org/10.55813/egaea.l.80
Bates, B. C., Kundzewicz, Z. W., Wu, S., & Palutikof, J. P. (Eds.). (2008). Climate change and water. Technical Paper of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. IPCC Secretariat. https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/2018/03/climate-change-water-en.pdf
Haasnoot, M., Kwakkel, J. H., Walker, W. E., & ter Maat, J. (2013). Dynamic adaptive policy pathways: A method for crafting robust decisions for a deeply uncertain world. Global Environmental Change, 23(2), 485–498. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2012.12.006
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). (2023). Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press. https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009157896
Kabisch, N., Korn, H., Stadler, J., & Bonn, A. (Eds.). (2017). Nature-based solutions to climate change adaptation in urban areas: Linkages between science, policy and practice. Springer. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-56091-5
Kovalenko, V., Akhmadeev, R., & Vikhorev, K. (2020). Structural degradation analysis of hydraulic structures under climate change conditions. E3S Web of Conferences, 163, 04010.
Kundzewicz, Z. W., Krysanova, V., Dankers, R., Hirabayashi, Y., Kanae, S., Hattermann, F. F., ... & Schellnhuber, H. J. (2016). Differences in flood hazard projections in Europe – their causes and consequences for decision making. Climatic Change, 147(1-2), 155-167. https://doi.org/10.1080/02626667.2016.1241398
Mailhot, A., Beauregard, I., Talbot, G., Caya, D., & Biner, S. (2011). Future changes in intense precipitation over Canada assessed from multi-model NARCCAP ensemble simulations. International Journal of Climatology, 32(8), 1151–1163. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.2343
Milly, P. C. D., Betancourt, J., Falkenmark, M., Hirsch, R. M., Kundzewicz, Z. W., Lettenmaier, D. P., & Stouffer, R. J. (2008). Stationarity Is Dead: Whither Water Management? Science, 319(5863), 573-574. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1151915
Mishra, S. K., Deshmukh, A., & Kumar, P. (2019). Predictive maintenance for water pipeline infrastructure using real-time data and machine learning. Procedia Computer Science, 152, 229–236.
Moran-Gonzalez, M. R., Guerrero-Calero, J. M., Mieles-Giler, J. W., & Cabrera-Verdesoto, C. A. (2024). Evaluación de Indicadores para la Gestión Integrada de Recursos Hídricos en Cuencas Hidrográficas . Journal of Economic and Social Science Research, 4(4), 25–38. https://doi.org/10.55813/gaea/jessr/v4/n4/129
Mullaney, J., Lucke, T., & Trueman, S. J. (2015). A review of benefits and challenges in growing street trees in paved urban environments. Landscape and Urban Planning, 107(1), 1–10. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landurbplan.2014.10.013
Sivapalan, M., & Blöschl, G. (2015). Time scale interactions and the coevolution of humans and water. Water Resources Research, 51(9), 6988–7022. https://doi.org/10.1002/2015WR017896
Slater, L. J., Wilby, R. L., & Quinn, N. W. (2021). Hydrological climate services: Turning climate information into actionable water management decisions. WIREs Water, 8(2), e1503.
Söderholm, P., Hildingsson, R., Khan, J., Johansson, B., & Wilhelmsson, F. (2020). Governing the transition to sustainable infrastructure: The importance of adaptive maintenance systems. Environmental Innovation and Societal Transitions, 34, 257–270.
Tollan, A. (2002). Land-use change and floods: What do we need most, research or management? Hydrological Processes, 16(14), 2645–2647. https://doi.org/10.2166/wst.2002.0176
UNESCO. (2020). Water and climate change. The United Nations World Water Development Report 2020. United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization. https://unesdoc.unesco.org/ark:/48223/pf0000372985
Villarini, G., & Slater, L. J. (2011). Examining flood frequency distributions in the United States. Water, 6(4), 945–961. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1752-1688.2011.00540.x
Westra, S., Alexander, L. V., & Zwiers, F. W. (2013). Global increasing trends in annual maximum daily precipitation. Journal of Climate, 26(11), 3904–3918. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00502.1
Zhou, Q., Leng, G., Su, J., Zhang, Y., & Tang, Q. (2021). A comprehensive assessment of global hydropower infrastructure exposure to climate extremes. Nature Communications, 12(1), 1–9.
Publicado
Número
Sección
Licencia
Derechos de autor 2024 Pinos-Cevallos, Ariana Belén (Autor/a)

Esta obra está bajo una licencia internacional Creative Commons Atribución-NoComercial 4.0.
: